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How to Determine When It’s Safe to Fly and What to Expect

Source: Oliver Wyman

Net bookings are down 99.5% year over year, and booked revenue is 103% lower in the U.S. airline industry, according to Forbes. The government and airline industry will need to reassure travelers with transparency about how they are measuring and responding to the risk caused by coronavirus.

Establishing a threat-level assessment, as well as enforcing a safety roadmap for airlines to follow, is a starting point in building the confidence for travelers during the pandemic. Oliver Wyman has proposed a five-level color-coded threat assessment, like the one above, as a potential framework for governments and the aviation industry to code the pandemic threat level. With insight into how the industry is classifying risk, travelers can make informed decisions about when to travel and prepare for any new airport processes in place to detect and contain COVID-19.

Long-term impacts to the industry are expected: An analysis by IATA in May states that it doesn’t expect worldwide passenger demand to surpass 2019 levels until 2023. “Making the public feel safe is also important for the broader economy,” the Forbes article notes, as “a revival in air travel, most likely accompanied by a return of business travel, tourism, and hotel stays, would mean the economy is coming back.”

Lower-Income Households Are At Risk of the ‘Homework Gap’

Source: Pew Research Center

Remote learning during the pandemic exposed the already fragile technological gap among income groups — 46% of lower-income families report having at least one problem related to the “homework gap.” Pew Research identifies this gap as “school-age children lacking the connectivity they need to complete schoolwork at home.”

Ninety percent of Americans state in a Pew Research report that the internet has been essential during COVID-19; however, about a quarter of home broadband users and smartphone owners cite affordability as a key concern as the pandemic continues. 

Over 60% of Americans believe that the government should take responsibility and ensure fair access to high-speed internet. And, as COVID-19 continues to expose the digital divide, more U.S. adults are in favor of schools providing digital technology for online learning than they were in April 2020. 

Shipliner Schedule Reliability Halves to 40% Compared to 2019

Source: Sea-Intelligence

The reliability of shipliners’ schedules has dropped by 38.2 percentage points, compared to 2020. Sea-Intelligence analyzed 34 different trade lanes and more than 60 carriers in its Global Liner Performance report and notes that “None of the top-14 carriers recorded a Y/Y improvement in schedule reliability, with all carriers recording double-digit declines of over -31.0 percentage points.”

Vessels’ late arrival times increased by almost half a day to 6.41 days. “The level of delays in 2021 have been the highest across each month compared to previous years,” notes Sea-Intelligence.

Efforts to stay on schedule have been hindered by a block in the Suez Canal in March, the Yantian terminal closure, and “border restrictions and port worker absences,” according to The Financial Times, as well as a “partial shut down of Ningbo-Zhoushan port.” High shipping prices and congestion at ports are also contributing to the logistical issues, which are expected to continue into next year. 

Ransomware Attacks on Critical Infrastructure Are Surging

According to Temple University’s Cybersecurity in Application, Research & Education Laboratory, ransomware attacks on critical infrastructure are on the rise, with about 75% of recorded incidents since 2013 having taken place in the last 18 months. The increasing frequency and severity of ransomware attacks are reflected by the steady increase in cyber insurance prices.

Threat actors can target critical infrastructure with geopolitical or financial motivations. They are well aware of the potential knock-on impacts on businesses and economies, as these attacks can cripple unprepared organizations by halting operations for extended periods.

A failure to prevent or respond to ransomware incidents can lead to reputational and liability risks, with lasting impacts on trust dynamics between infrastructure operators and key stakeholders such as governments, investors and consumers. These trust implications are further discussed in Built to Last: Infrastructure and Trust In A Changing World, a new report from Marsh McLennan.

European Banks Lead With 80% of Assets Aligned to Net-Zero Targets

Net Zero Banking Alliance Regional

With COP26 approaching, the past few months have seen a surge in the number of banks committing their lending and investment portfolios to net-zero targets. Activity is concentrated among listed banks. As of now, the total assets of net-zero aligned listed banks amount to $51 trillion, accounting for 38% of global listed banking assets and representing 93% of global net-zero aligned assets.

Progress, however, is uneven across geographies. European banks lead the way, having committed about 80% of listed banking assets to net-zero targets, followed by North America at 56%. Latin America, Asia Pacific, and Middle East and Africa made slower progress, with only 29%, 11% and 1% of their listed assets being currently aligned.

As more institutions pledge to reach net-zero financed emissions globally, borrowers that accelerate their decarbonization efforts and incorporate carbon disclosure practices are likely to gain preferential access to capital across geographies.

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